Monday, March 10, 2008

Clinton-Obama Ticket?

In the midst of the "3 AM phone call" ad, Samantha Power calling Hillary Clinton a monster, and Saturday Night Live continuing their support of Sen. Clinton, HRC let something slip out of her mouth. She implied that it may be possible for Clinton to choose Sen. Obama as her vice president. President Bill Clinton made reference to those possibilities again, suggesting a Clinton-Obama ticket would be unstoppable.

Barack Obama shut down these rumors and I couldn't agree more with Sen. Obama. I personally find it ludicrous and risible that Clinton is suggesting this. If Barack Obama is not ready to answer the phone at 3 AM, then why is she touting him as a great vice presidential candidate? Theoretically, a vice president should be able to step right in if the President, for whatever reason, cannot perform to the abilities of himself or herself. Bill Clinton said that in 1992, in addressing running mate Al Gore. Hillary Clinton is essentially saying that Barack Obama will be ready on Day 1 if she wants to be his vice president.

What she is saying makes no sense, first of all. Obama maintains a substantial lead in pledged delegates and it is nearly insurmountable for her to trump that department. Hillary Clinton needs the superdelegates to stay in the race, and her lead in that division is shrinking. Why do you think Hillary has been pushing so hard to do a re-do in the primaries in Florida and Michigan? Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean has made clear he does not want a brokered convention.

John McCain is free to start slinging mud at Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton, while the two are preoccupied with each other. Eventually, one of them will have to step aside for the good of the party. Both candidates propose a legitimate argument. Obama has won more states, more delegates, and that lead doesn't figure to evaporate anytime soon. Clinton can argue that she was won the bigger states that are needed to win in a general election.

Clinton's argument is far more porous than Obama's. States such as New York or California are virtually certain to vote Democratic, no matter who is the nominee. In addition, Obama has also won his share of big states. Illinois, his home state, Georgia, Minnesota, Alaska, and technically Texas have all gone Obama's way. I say technically for Obama because Clinton won the primaries by a narrow margin. However, Obama won the caucuses, which accounts for one-third of the delegates, and therefore will receive three more delegates from Texas than Clinton.

After Mississippi's primary tomorrow, the race shifts to Pennsylvania, which is six weeks away. Keep in mind that the Pennsylvania primary is a week after to April 15, the date Clinton said she would return her tax returns. On paper, this sounds like a good state for Hillary. However, six weeks is plenty of time to catch up. Expect an adjustment in rhetoric and campaign strategies from both candidates as Obama could blow another fatal blow towards Hillary's shot at the Presidency.

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